浙江经济2010年增长平稳,2011年将靠消费增长拉动
Consumer-Driven Growth will fuel the economy of Zhejiang province in 2011
发布于2011-10-21 18:11 | 次阅读
Released on 2011-10-21 18:11 | readings
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2010年,浙江经济由较快回升趋于平稳增长,GDP增速呈现“前高后低”的走势,全年预计可达11%以上,为接下来的经济转型升级迈出了坚实的步伐。

回顾过去2010年的浙江省经济运行呈现3个特点:

1、回归常规增长轨道。从工业、投资、消费、出口以及财政收入等主要指标看,全社会固定资产投资10221.9亿元,比上年同期增长17.7%。全省规模以上工业企业增加值9316.5亿元,恢复到国际金融危机前同期水平。浙江经济运行平稳,回归常规增长轨道态势明显。

2、内生动力进一步增强。 2010年,受外部压力和自身结构调整的影响,全省经济增长的内在动力和活力有所增强。2010年1-11月份民间投资增速比国有投资高17.2个百分点,内销趋旺,国内消费上升趋势明显,市场驱动的投资、消费和出口共同拉动经济增长的格局正形成。

3、结构性矛盾依然突出。 在政府主导型的经济回升过程中,结构性矛盾和深层次问题仍然很集中,产业和产品仍处于中低端,“投资主导型”迹象明显,消费未能成为主动力。

展望2011年浙江经济,将可能呈现以下特征:

1、消费需求、就业以及工资将呈现平稳增长,预计全年浙江社会消费品零售总额的名义增速为15%。

2、由于国家加大力度推动产业调整振兴,预计全年浙江固定资产投资的增幅将保持在11%左右。

3、2011年浙江GDP的名义增长率可望达到13%以上,如果2011年的物价总水平上升4%左右,则扣除物价因素后,预计2011年全省GDP增速将保持在10%左右。 

In 2010, Zhejiang's economy tends from rapid rebound to stable growth.  And GDP growth show a trend of "front is high and back is low" and it is expected to reach more than 11% of the whole year. Therefore, transformation and update have taken solid steps.

Looking back on the past experiences, economic performance of Zhejiang Province in 2010 showed three characteristics:

1、It returns to normal growth path. From the major indicators of industry, investment, consumption and revenue after exporting, the total investment in fixed asset is 1.02219 trillion yuan which increased 17.7% from the same period of last year. The added value of province's large-scale industries and enterprises is of 931.65 billion yuan, restoring to the same level as before the international financial crisis. Zhejiang's economy is running smoothly and clears to return to normal growth path.

2、Its internal power is strengthening. In 2010, subject to the impact of external pressures and their structural adjustment, the intrinsic motivation and vitality of province's economic growth has been enhanced. From January to November of 2010, the improving speed of private investment is 17.2 percent higher than state-owned investment. And the domestic sales have risen and domestic consumption rise is significant. The pattern of market-driven investment and consumption and exports together to promote economic growth is being formed.

3、Structural contradictions are still outstanding. During the process of the government-led economic recovery, structural contradictions and deep-seated problems are still mainly concentrated in that industry and product is still in low-end,  "investment-led" is obvious and consumption has not been active power.

Outlook Zhejiang economy of 2011, it will probably show the following characteristics:

1、The consumer demand, employment and wages will show a steady growth and it is expected that the growth rate of annual social consumer goods retail sales of Zhejiang will be of 15% nominally.

2、Because the nation has stepped up efforts to promote industrial restructuring and revitalization, it is estimated that the annual fixed asset investment growth of Zhejiang will remain at around 11%.

3、The nominal growth of Zhejiang GDP is expected to reach 13% or more. If the 2011 price level rises by about 4%, then the province's GDP growth in 2011 will remain at around 10% after deducting price factors.

2010年,浙江经济由较快回升趋于平稳增长,GDP增速呈现“前高后低”的走势,全年预计可达11%以上,为接下来的经济转型升级迈出了坚实的步伐。

回顾过去2010年的浙江省经济运行呈现3个特点:

1、回归常规增长轨道。从工业、投资、消费、出口以及财政收入等主要指标看,全社会固定资产投资10221.9亿元,比上年同期增长17.7%。全省规模以上工业企业增加值9316.5亿元,恢复到国际金融危机前同期水平。浙江经济运行平稳,回归常规增长轨道态势明显。

2、内生动力进一步增强。 2010年,受外部压力和自身结构调整的影响,全省经济增长的内在动力和活力有所增强。2010年1-11月份民间投资增速比国有投资高17.2个百分点,内销趋旺,国内消费上升趋势明显,市场驱动的投资、消费和出口共同拉动经济增长的格局正形成。

3、结构性矛盾依然突出。 在政府主导型的经济回升过程中,结构性矛盾和深层次问题仍然很集中,产业和产品仍处于中低端,“投资主导型”迹象明显,消费未能成为主动力。

展望2011年浙江经济,将可能呈现以下特征:

1、消费需求、就业以及工资将呈现平稳增长,预计全年浙江社会消费品零售总额的名义增速为15%。

2、由于国家加大力度推动产业调整振兴,预计全年浙江固定资产投资的增幅将保持在11%左右。

3、2011年浙江GDP的名义增长率可望达到13%以上,如果2011年的物价总水平上升4%左右,则扣除物价因素后,预计2011年全省GDP增速将保持在10%左右。 

In 2010, Zhejiang's economy tends from rapid rebound to stable growth.  And GDP growth show a trend of "front is high and back is low" and it is expected to reach more than 11% of the whole year. Therefore, transformation and update have taken solid steps.

Looking back on the past experiences, economic performance of Zhejiang Province in 2010 showed three characteristics:

1、It returns to normal growth path. From the major indicators of industry, investment, consumption and revenue after exporting, the total investment in fixed asset is 1.02219 trillion yuan which increased 17.7% from the same period of last year. The added value of province's large-scale industries and enterprises is of 931.65 billion yuan, restoring to the same level as before the international financial crisis. Zhejiang's economy is running smoothly and clears to return to normal growth path.

2、Its internal power is strengthening. In 2010, subject to the impact of external pressures and their structural adjustment, the intrinsic motivation and vitality of province's economic growth has been enhanced. From January to November of 2010, the improving speed of private investment is 17.2 percent higher than state-owned investment. And the domestic sales have risen and domestic consumption rise is significant. The pattern of market-driven investment and consumption and exports together to promote economic growth is being formed.

3、Structural contradictions are still outstanding. During the process of the government-led economic recovery, structural contradictions and deep-seated problems are still mainly concentrated in that industry and product is still in low-end,  "investment-led" is obvious and consumption has not been active power.

Outlook Zhejiang economy of 2011, it will probably show the following characteristics:

1、The consumer demand, employment and wages will show a steady growth and it is expected that the growth rate of annual social consumer goods retail sales of Zhejiang will be of 15% nominally.

2、Because the nation has stepped up efforts to promote industrial restructuring and revitalization, it is estimated that the annual fixed asset investment growth of Zhejiang will remain at around 11%.

3、The nominal growth of Zhejiang GDP is expected to reach 13% or more. If the 2011 price level rises by about 4%, then the province's GDP growth in 2011 will remain at around 10% after deducting price factors.

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