China's economic growth rate will brace slight drop in 2011
Released on 2011-10-21 18:43 | readings
根据今年初的一份调查问卷报告显示，有将近八成经济学家认为全球经济将会复苏。但另一方面，他们预计中国2011年GDP增幅将降至8.7%，2012年则继续下降至8.4%。由于中国经济增长动力主要来自投资，经济学家们认为，结构调整是否成功是中国经济增长的最大威胁。
目前中国结构调整所面临的困难主要有：急剧扩张的城市人口所带来的名生问题。例如，随着城市人口的增加，一些新型产业能否解决这些人的就业问题。同时还要努力缩小城乡间差异。另外，中国经济处于快速增长期，导致中国商品价格快速上升、劳务工资也将随之增加等。
有分析师指出，全球经济的调整为中国加快结构调整、转变发展方式提供了有利的时机。我们有较为充裕的时间与空间来应对。
分析师提出的主要对策有：
1）加快工业结构的调整：例如推动劳动密集型与技术密集型产业的协调发展；开发有特色的商品，从而刺激消费，扩大消费。
2）强调自主创新：以科技专项为契机，实现在技术上的突破。并支持企业提高产品质量与开发自主品牌，改善消费结构。
3）积极推进节能降耗和减排治污，尽快实现资源节约型和环境友好型工业发展。
4）完善政策保障体系。坚持市场机制和中国宏观调控政策相结合，例如制定完善有利于工业转型的社保、人才、就业等相关政策，为推进工业转型升级提供制度保障。
同时，央行在2011年的工作会议中明确表示，当前和今后一个时期的主要任务是稳定物价，我们要把稳定物价总水平放在金融宏观调控中一个更突出的位置。
According to a survey conducted earlier this year, nearly 80% economists believed that the global economy will recover. But on the other hand, they predicted that in 2011, China's GDP growth rate will fall to 8.7%, and in 2012 this rate will continue to decline to 8.4%. Since China's economic growth is mainly driven by investment, economists stated that the success of restructuring is the biggest threat to China's economic growth.
Currently, the main obstacles in the restructuring for China are: many problems caused by the rapid expansion of the urban population. For example, with the increasing urban population, we doubt whether some new industries can solve these people’s employment problems. Meanwhile, we need to make efforts to narrow the gaps between urban and rural areas. In addition, our economy is in the phase of rapid growth; this leads our commodity prices, labor wages to rise quickly.
Some analysts pointed out that the adjustment of global economy provided opportunities for China to speed up structural adjustment and change the development mode. We have sufficient time and space to deal with this issue.
The main measures proposed by the analyst are:
1) Accelerating the adjustment of industrial structure: for example, promote the coordinated development of labor-intensive and technology-intensive industries; develop featured products to stimulate consumption and expand consumption.
2) Emphasizing innovation: taking science and technology projects as the opportunity to achieve a breakthrough in techniques; supporting enterprises to improve product quality and develop their own brands, and improve the consumption structure.
3) Actively promoting energy saving and pollution reduction; achieving resource-conserving and environment-friendly industrial development as soon as possible.
4) Improving the policy support system. Insisting the combination of the market mechanism and China's macro-controlled policies, such as formulate social security, human resources, employment and other related policies to improve the industrial transformation; this provides guarantee to promote industrial restructuring and upgrading.
Meanwhile, the Central Bank made a clear statement in 2011's working conference that, a main task in the current and future period is to stabilize prices. We need to put stabilizing the price level in a more prominent position in the macroeconomic control.
根据今年初的一份调查问卷报告显示，有将近八成经济学家认为全球经济将会复苏。但另一方面，他们预计中国2011年GDP增幅将降至8.7%，2012年则继续下降至8.4%。由于中国经济增长动力主要来自投资，经济学家们认为，结构调整是否成功是中国经济增长的最大威胁。
目前中国结构调整所面临的困难主要有：急剧扩张的城市人口所带来的名生问题。例如，随着城市人口的增加，一些新型产业能否解决这些人的就业问题。同时还要努力缩小城乡间差异。另外，中国经济处于快速增长期，导致中国商品价格快速上升、劳务工资也将随之增加等。
有分析师指出，全球经济的调整为中国加快结构调整、转变发展方式提供了有利的时机。我们有较为充裕的时间与空间来应对。
分析师提出的主要对策有：
1）加快工业结构的调整：例如推动劳动密集型与技术密集型产业的协调发展；开发有特色的商品，从而刺激消费，扩大消费。
2）强调自主创新：以科技专项为契机，实现在技术上的突破。并支持企业提高产品质量与开发自主品牌，改善消费结构。
3）积极推进节能降耗和减排治污，尽快实现资源节约型和环境友好型工业发展。
4）完善政策保障体系。坚持市场机制和中国宏观调控政策相结合，例如制定完善有利于工业转型的社保、人才、就业等相关政策，为推进工业转型升级提供制度保障。
同时，央行在2011年的工作会议中明确表示，当前和今后一个时期的主要任务是稳定物价，我们要把稳定物价总水平放在金融宏观调控中一个更突出的位置。
According to a survey conducted earlier this year, nearly 80% economists believed that the global economy will recover. But on the other hand, they predicted that in 2011, China's GDP growth rate will fall to 8.7%, and in 2012 this rate will continue to decline to 8.4%. Since China's economic growth is mainly driven by investment, economists stated that the success of restructuring is the biggest threat to China's economic growth.
Currently, the main obstacles in the restructuring for China are: many problems caused by the rapid expansion of the urban population. For example, with the increasing urban population, we doubt whether some new industries can solve these people’s employment problems. Meanwhile, we need to make efforts to narrow the gaps between urban and rural areas. In addition, our economy is in the phase of rapid growth; this leads our commodity prices, labor wages to rise quickly.
Some analysts pointed out that the adjustment of global economy provided opportunities for China to speed up structural adjustment and change the development mode. We have sufficient time and space to deal with this issue.
The main measures proposed by the analyst are:
1) Accelerating the adjustment of industrial structure: for example, promote the coordinated development of labor-intensive and technology-intensive industries; develop featured products to stimulate consumption and expand consumption.
2) Emphasizing innovation: taking science and technology projects as the opportunity to achieve a breakthrough in techniques; supporting enterprises to improve product quality and develop their own brands, and improve the consumption structure.
3) Actively promoting energy saving and pollution reduction; achieving resource-conserving and environment-friendly industrial development as soon as possible.
4) Improving the policy support system. Insisting the combination of the market mechanism and China's macro-controlled policies, such as formulate social security, human resources, employment and other related policies to improve the industrial transformation; this provides guarantee to promote industrial restructuring and upgrading.
Meanwhile, the Central Bank made a clear statement in 2011's working conference that, a main task in the current and future period is to stabilize prices. We need to put stabilizing the price level in a more prominent position in the macroeconomic control.