经济学家预言：美国衰退，中国崛起
Economists foretell the American decline and Chine
Economists foretell the American decline and Chine
发布于2011-10-21 18:35 | 次阅读
Released on 2011-10-21 18:35 | readings
Released on 2011-10-21 18:35 | readings
中国已在2010年赶超日本成为世界第二经济强国。根据路透社报道，许多经济学家预言，从长远来看，美国将不可避免地被作为世界最大经济体的中国赶超。
哈佛大学经济系的戴尔乔根森教授说：“诸多估计，二十一世纪20年代早期，中国的经济规模将于美国等同。美国要面对中国经济在蓬勃发展的事实，很有可能美国在世界上的主导地位将受到威胁而终止其现今的统治地位。”戴尔乔根森认为，美国未能从金融危机的教训中学到经验，并继续盲目支持和解救其大型金融机构。对国际银行越来越大的权力质疑，他说：“如今美国政府支持注资的公司有哪些？是最大的六个银行集团。”
麻省理工学院的西蒙约翰逊更直接地认为，从美国金融危机的损害及后果来看，预示其对美国的经济地位是一个永久性的打击。他预言：“美国占主导地位的时期即将结束，人民币将在20多年内成为世界的储备货币。”
“中国的GDP将在2020年超过美国，分析师说道”——市场观察，2009年4月23日
“中国超过日本成为世界第二经济强国”——彭博社，2010年8月16日
“中国可能在2012年超过美国” —— 华尔街日报经济博客，2010年11月10日
China’s economy has overtaken Japan as second-largest in the world in 2010. (Reuters) Many economists foretell, in the long run, the United States must face up to inevitably being overtaken by China as the world's largest economy. Reflecting China’s rise, it is now the world’s biggest auto market and the largest energy consumer. Experts say it could overtake the US as the No 1 economy sometime between 2020 and 2030 if its current blistering growth rates are sustained.
Most estimates put the size of the Chinese economy on par with the United States by the early 2020s. The United States will need to come to terms with the fact that its prevalence in the world is fated to come to an end, said Dale Jorgenson, professor of Economics Department of Harvard. Johnson said he believes the United States has failed to learn its lesson from the financial crisis and continues to implicitly back its largest financial institutions. "I'm concerned about the excessive power of the largest global banks," he said. "Who are the government-sponsored enterprises now? It's the six biggest bank holding companies."
MIT's Simon Johnson put it more bluntly, saying the damage from the financial crisis and its aftermath has dealt U.S. prominence a permanent blow. "The age of American predominance is over," he told a panel. "The (Chinese) Yuan (RMB) will be the world's reserve currency within two decades."
“China’s GDP to overtake U.S. by early 2020s, says analyst”
-MarketWatch, April 23, 2009
“China Overtakes Japan as World’s Second-Biggest Economy”
-Bloomberg, August 16, 2010
“China Could Surpass U.S. in 2012”
-Real Time Economics blog, Wall Street Journal, November 10, 2010
中国已在2010年赶超日本成为世界第二经济强国。根据路透社报道，许多经济学家预言，从长远来看，美国将不可避免地被作为世界最大经济体的中国赶超。
哈佛大学经济系的戴尔乔根森教授说：“诸多估计，二十一世纪20年代早期，中国的经济规模将于美国等同。美国要面对中国经济在蓬勃发展的事实，很有可能美国在世界上的主导地位将受到威胁而终止其现今的统治地位。”戴尔乔根森认为，美国未能从金融危机的教训中学到经验，并继续盲目支持和解救其大型金融机构。对国际银行越来越大的权力质疑，他说：“如今美国政府支持注资的公司有哪些？是最大的六个银行集团。”
麻省理工学院的西蒙约翰逊更直接地认为，从美国金融危机的损害及后果来看，预示其对美国的经济地位是一个永久性的打击。他预言：“美国占主导地位的时期即将结束，人民币将在20多年内成为世界的储备货币。”
“中国的GDP将在2020年超过美国，分析师说道”——市场观察，2009年4月23日
“中国超过日本成为世界第二经济强国”——彭博社，2010年8月16日
“中国可能在2012年超过美国” —— 华尔街日报经济博客，2010年11月10日
China’s economy has overtaken Japan as second-largest in the world in 2010. (Reuters) Many economists foretell, in the long run, the United States must face up to inevitably being overtaken by China as the world's largest economy. Reflecting China’s rise, it is now the world’s biggest auto market and the largest energy consumer. Experts say it could overtake the US as the No 1 economy sometime between 2020 and 2030 if its current blistering growth rates are sustained.
Most estimates put the size of the Chinese economy on par with the United States by the early 2020s. The United States will need to come to terms with the fact that its prevalence in the world is fated to come to an end, said Dale Jorgenson, professor of Economics Department of Harvard. Johnson said he believes the United States has failed to learn its lesson from the financial crisis and continues to implicitly back its largest financial institutions. "I'm concerned about the excessive power of the largest global banks," he said. "Who are the government-sponsored enterprises now? It's the six biggest bank holding companies."
MIT's Simon Johnson put it more bluntly, saying the damage from the financial crisis and its aftermath has dealt U.S. prominence a permanent blow. "The age of American predominance is over," he told a panel. "The (Chinese) Yuan (RMB) will be the world's reserve currency within two decades."
“China’s GDP to overtake U.S. by early 2020s, says analyst”
-MarketWatch, April 23, 2009
“China Overtakes Japan as World’s Second-Biggest Economy”
-Bloomberg, August 16, 2010
“China Could Surpass U.S. in 2012”
-Real Time Economics blog, Wall Street Journal, November 10, 2010
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